Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:16:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe18b…db44
crypto · 1757 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$47 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$667 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$667
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)10%
Wins / losses62 / 534
Open positions0
Markets (closed)596 / 1757
History coverage21d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day158.6
Drawdown13%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 596 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$94
7 days+$56
14 days+$75
30 days+$667
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$770
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-43.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 317 -25.1% -32.3% 16% 6% -17.1%
≤30d 596 -37.8% -43.8% 10% 4% -2.5%
≤90d 596 -37.8% -43.8% 10% 4% -2.5%
all 596 -37.8% -43.8% 10% 4% -2.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover158.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -43.8% 4% -2.5%
10% ← realistic here -49.1% 3% -11.9%
15% -54.1% 3% -20.4%
20% -58.6% 3% -28.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records