Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:23:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe19b…dafb
tech · 4 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$12 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY tech specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$141
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 3 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 80¢ 81¢ $80 $81 +$1 (+2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes 72¢ 94¢ $23 $30 +$7 (+29%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $41 +$11 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
tech 51% +$18
world 35% +$1
other 14% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 72¢ $23 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $31 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? SELL Yes 61¢ $42 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 72¢ $51 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL No 48¢ $52 3h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY No 80¢ $80 5h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY No 36¢ $41 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +27.3% +15.2% 100% 100% +15.2%
≤30d 1 +27.3% +15.2% 100% 100% +15.2%
≤90d 1 +27.3% +15.2% 100% 100% +15.2%
all 1 +27.3% +15.2% 100% 100% +15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +15.2% 100% +15.2%
10% +4.2% 100% +4.2%
15% -5.9% 0% -5.9%
20% -15.1% 0% -15.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $141.18 · official $141.19 (match) · 7 history records