Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T00:01:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E1 0xe1a4…8852 crypto 80 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$52 (-4%) realized −$52 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate54%43W / 37L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day48.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 +7.4% -2.8% 54% 54% -12.5%
≤30d 80 +7.4% -2.8% 54% 54% -12.5%
≤90d 80 +7.4% -2.8% 54% 54% -12.5%
all 80 +7.4% -2.8% 54% 54% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover48.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.8% 54% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -12.1% 51% -20.9%
15% -20.6% 49% -28.5%
20% -28.4% 49% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +7% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late +26% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$16 · ×0.79 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses43 / 37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)80 / 80
History coverage2d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day48.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 80 Trades
no open positions (30 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $16 +$14 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $72 −$48 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $41 +$39 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $16 +$16 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$8 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$10 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$10 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $8 +$7 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $41 −$30 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $16 +$14 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$14 +258%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$8 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $26 −$11 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $16 +$14 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$12 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$14 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$11 -70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $41 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $24 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $72 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $41 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $16 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $6 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $16 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $9 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $8 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 141 history records