Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:03:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe1aa…50d0
sports · 38 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$37 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$37 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized−$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses19 / 14
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions5
Markets (closed)33 / 38
History coverage6d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 5 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days−$37
14 days−$37
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Dinko Dinev Ivan Marrero Curbelo 70¢ 72¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Sara Saito 61¢ 62¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan Elina Avanesyan 77¢ 78¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
ITF kiseljak: Yaroslav Demin vs Andrey Chepelev Andrey Chepelev 58¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Maia Beatriz Haddad Maia 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Alena Kovackova Alena Kovackova 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
ITF Wichita: Nicolas Arseneault vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse Nicolas Arseneault 17¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cattolica: Miguel Tobon vs Alexander Vasilev Miguel Tobon 60¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Tokyo: Mayuka Aikawa vs Ikumi Yamazaki Jun 13 $11 +$4 +33%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 +$3 +97%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Sofya Lansere vs Francesca Curmi Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 11 $4 $0 -2%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $5 −$1 -12%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
ITF Wichita: Nicolas Arseneault vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse Jun 11 $5 −$5 -90%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Alena Kovackova Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 $0 +18%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Leo Vithoontien Jun 10 $2 +$1 +52%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $2 $0 +21%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Jun 10 $1 $0 -2%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $20 −$20 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 09 $20 +$4 +21%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1 $0 +18%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1 $0 +9%
Cattolica: Miguel Tobon vs Alexander Vasilev Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics Jun 09 $1 $0 +20%
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 09 $1 $0 +5%
Makarska: Darja Semenistaja vs Maria Timofeeva Jun 07 $10 $0 -3%
ITF Caserta: Federica Urgesi vs Alessandra Mazzola Jun 07 $10 +$3 +28%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Emilio Nava Jun 07 $10 −$3 -26%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Mert Alkaya vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert Jun 07 $10 +$3 +30%
ITF Monastir: Jacob Bradshaw vs Yassine Dlimi Jun 07 $10 +$6 +62%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parks Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Ruslan Tiukaev vs Lorenzo Bocchi Jun 07 $30 +$12 +40%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Ma Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $2 +$1 +30%
ITF Lakewood: Tatum Evans vs Kristina Penickova Jun 06 $1 $0 -23%
ITF Caserta: Federica Urgesi vs Deborah Chiesa Jun 06 $1 $0 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$42
other 6% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF kiseljak: Yaroslav Demin vs Andrey Chepelev BUY Andrey Chepelev 58¢ $5 1h
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 61¢ $5 1h
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan BUY Elina Avanesyan 77¢ $5 1h
ITF Tokyo: Mayuka Aikawa vs Ikumi Yamazaki SELL Ikumi Yamazaki 100¢ $15 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 1h
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Dinko Dinev BUY Ivan Marrero Curbelo 70¢ $10 1h
ITF Tokyo: Mayuka Aikawa vs Ikumi Yamazaki BUY Ikumi Yamazaki 80¢ $9 2h
ITF Tokyo: Mayuka Aikawa vs Ikumi Yamazaki BUY Ikumi Yamazaki 57¢ $2 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $4 28h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 66¢ $5 28h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 70¢ $5 28h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Jesper de Jong 74¢ $5 28h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Sofya Lansere vs Francesca Curmi SELL Francesca Curmi 75¢ $2 44h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 64¢ $4 45h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Philadelphia Phillies 86¢ $4 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 4¢ $0 2d
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Philadelphia Phillies 97¢ $5 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 97¢ $5 2d
ITF Wichita: Nicolas Arseneault vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse SELL Nicolas Arseneault 1¢ $0 2d
ITF Wichita: Nicolas Arseneault vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse BUY Nicolas Arseneault 17¢ $5 2d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $4 2d
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Alena Kovackova BUY Alena Kovackova 66¢ $2 2d
ITF Ceska Lipa: Sofya Lansere vs Francesca Curmi BUY Francesca Curmi 66¢ $2 2d
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx SELL Minnesota Lynx 100¢ $1 3d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 84¢ $2 3d
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky SELL Atlanta Dream 79¢ $1 3d
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx BUY Minnesota Lynx 77¢ $1 3d
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx SELL Minnesota Lynx 73¢ $1 3d
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx BUY Minnesota Lynx 64¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -7.9% -16.7% 58% 52% -22.8%
≤30d 33 -7.9% -16.7% 58% 52% -22.8%
≤90d 33 -7.9% -16.7% 58% 52% -22.8%
all 33 -7.9% -16.7% 58% 52% -22.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.7% 52% -22.8%
10% -24.6% 30% -30.2%
15% -31.9% 15% -36.9%
20% -38.6% 9% -43.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.09 · official $31.09 (match) · 73 history records