Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:50:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe1b5…20ac
other · 65 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$161 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$168 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$381
Realized+$168
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses8 / 47
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions10
Markets (closed)55 / 65
History coverage3d
Avg bet$719
Trades / day1127.0
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 10 History 55 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$140
7 days+$168
14 days+$168
30 days+$168
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? No 100¢ 100¢ $104 $104 −$0 (-0%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $38 $38 −$0 (-0%)
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 100¢ 99¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-0%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-0%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 100¢ 99¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $29 $29 −$0 (-0%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $29 $29 −$0 (-0%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $29 $29 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $625 $0 -0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Jun 12 $4,374 +$29 +1%
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 12 $1,111 +$28 +2%
Trump out as President by June 30? Jun 12 $2,589 +$31 +1%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 12 $446 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $29 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $29 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $60 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? Jun 12 $219 $0 -0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? Jun 12 $31 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 12 $341 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $209 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? Jun 12 $461 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Jun 12 $31 $0 -0%
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $29 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $828 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 12 $652 +$29 +4%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $608 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $31 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Jun 12 $1,385 $0 -0%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $30 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Jun 12 $58 $0 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Jun 12 $519 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $272 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Jun 12 $1,439 −$1 -0%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $3,645 −$2 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $90 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $268 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1,241 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? Jun 12 $31 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $125 $0 -0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $318 $0 -0%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $58 $0 -1%
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Jun 11 $58 $0 +0%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 11 $337 $0 +0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e Jun 11 $31 $0 -0%
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $537 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $30 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $151 $0 -0%
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $1,808 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $362 $0 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 11 $31 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $29 $0 +0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $40 $0 -0%
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $724 $0 -0%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $30 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $44 $0 -0%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Jun 10 $58 +$30 +52%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $57 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 35% +$27
world 23% +$59
politics 16% +$56
economics 11% +$29
tech 9% −$1
crypto 6% −$2
sports 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $8 3m
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $31 3m
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $31 5m
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $31 5m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 98¢ $29 11m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $29 11m
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? SELL No 100¢ $30 14m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $20 19m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $27 19m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $85 19m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $27 19m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $50 19m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $32 19m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $32 19m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $48 20m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $8 20m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $8 20m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $20 20m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $20 20m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $22 20m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $46 20m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $46 20m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $50 21m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $20 21m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $50 21m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $56 21m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $9 21m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $47 21m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $17 21m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $17 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 +2.9% -6.9% 15% 4% -9.0%
≤30d 55 +2.9% -6.9% 15% 4% -9.0%
≤90d 55 +2.9% -6.9% 15% 4% -9.0%
all 55 +2.9% -6.9% 15% 4% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1127.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.9% 4% -9.0%
10% -15.8% 4% -17.7%
15% ← realistic here -24.0% 4% -25.7%
20% -31.4% 4% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $381.27 · official $381.27 (match) · 3500 history records