Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:28:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E1 0xe1c6…a8b5 crypto 570 markets active 3d ago coverage 17d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (70 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$311 (-9%) realized −$311 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -26% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -43% what you keep after slip
Net edge-43%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate34%196W / 373L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day69.5pace
Fees−$7est.
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$28
14 days−$181
30 days−$417
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 65% −$247
other 15% −$75
sports 11% −$42
weather 8% −$40
politics 1% −$11
culture 1% −$1
finance 0% −$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (70 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-32.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -72.2% -74.9% 15% 15% -74.2%
≤30d 569 -25.8% -32.9% 34% 18% -21.1%
≤90d 569 -25.8% -32.9% 34% 18% -21.1%
all 569 -25.8% -32.9% 34% 18% -21.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover69.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.9% 18% -21.1%
10% ← realistic here -39.3% 16% -28.7%
15% -45.2% 14% -35.6%
20% -50.5% 13% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
47% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -26% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -27% → late -25% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×0.87 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.46 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$311
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses196 / 373
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)569 / 570
History coverage17d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day69.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 569 Trades
no open positions (216 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +152%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +14%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $3 $0 -4%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $5 −$1 -10%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 10 $5 $0 -5%
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Jun 10 $5 $0 -4%
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 10 $5 $0 -2%
ITF kiseljak: Josip Simundza vs Yannick Baluska Jun 10 $11 $0 -1%
ITF Wuning: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Rina Saigo Jun 10 $23 −$8 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1430 history records