Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:29:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe1d6…907c
crypto · 112 markets active 39d ago
0.0score
+$14,731 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14,731 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$14,731
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses56 / 170
Whale WR (big bets)52%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)226 / 112
History coverage1d
Avg bet$665
Trades / day3366.0
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 226 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,164
7 days−$7,164
14 days−$7,164
30 days−$7,164
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum above 2,305 on May 2, 9PM ET? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 78,000 on May 2, 1AM ET? No 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 78,800 on May 3, 8PM ET? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 78,400 on May 3, 10AM ET? No 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 78,000 on May 2, 6AM ET? No 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2AM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum above 2,305 on May 2, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 78,000 on May 2, 1AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $124 −$124 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin above 78,800 on May 3, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET Jun 12 $198 −$198 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin above 78,400 on May 3, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin above 78,000 on May 2, 6AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $424 −$424 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin above 78,800 on May 3, 8AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET Jun 12 $229 −$229 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1PM ET Jun 12 $468 −$468 -100%
Ethereum above 2,325 on April 27, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 78,800 on May 2, 1PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum above 2,355 on May 2, 6PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum above 2,335 on May 3, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $211 −$211 -100%
Ethereum above 2,335 on May 4, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 78,800 on May 2, 6PM ET? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$21,895
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum above 2,285 on April 29, 12PM ET? SELL No 65¢ $6 38d
Ethereum above 2,285 on April 29, 12PM ET? SELL No 99¢ $22 38d
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $592 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $900 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $13 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $0 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $12 38d
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $21 38d
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 38d
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 38d
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 38d
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $12 38d
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 38d
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $6 38d
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $18 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 38d
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $23 38d
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $45 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 38d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 38d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-50.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 112 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 226 -45.2% -50.4% 25% 20% +6.8%
all 226 -45.2% -50.4% 25% 20% +6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3366.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.4% 20% +6.8%
10% ← realistic here -55.1% 14% -3.4%
15% -59.5% 11% -12.7%
20% -63.5% 9% -21.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records