Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe1e5…400a
crypto · 262 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses138 / 124
Open positions0
Markets (closed)262 / 262
History coverage59d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day14.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 262 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$36 +284%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -13.8% -22.0% 47% 33% -12.2%
≤30d 98 -18.4% -26.1% 42% 30% -14.8%
≤90d 262 -2.6% -11.9% 53% 32% -9.4%
all 262 -2.6% -11.9% 53% 32% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.9% 32% -9.4%
10% -20.3% 22% -18.0%
15% -28.0% 17% -25.9%
20% -35.0% 15% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1018 history records