Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:09:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe1eb…1240
sports · 791 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$185 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$189 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$84
Realized−$189
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses586 / 201
Est. fees paid−$50
Open positions4
Markets (closed)787 / 791
History coverage68d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day13.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 4 History 787 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$54
14 days−$160
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 65¢ 100¢ $25 $38 +$13 (+54%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 78¢ 100¢ $20 $26 +$6 (+28%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 74¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09? Yes 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming 83¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5 Over 72¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 74¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Invictus Gaming 91¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 91¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 75¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 93¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner Movistar KOI 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Karmine Corp 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02? Yes 84¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner Team Vitality 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 86¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? No 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 1 Winner ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 39¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner FaZe 87¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $50 +$16 +32%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $15 +$11 +70%
Peru vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $15 −$15 -99%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $20 +$5 +24%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $30 +$3 +10%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $30 +$6 +20%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $29 +$8 +27%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $6 +$4 +76%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $30 −$30 -99%
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5) Jun 07 $18 +$13 +73%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $20 +$12 +60%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $25 +$9 +36%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $20 +$21 +101%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $25 +$17 +67%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $20 +$7 +36%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $30 +$7 +23%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $30 +$15 +50%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 04 $101 −$100 -99%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 04 $100 +$12 +12%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $28 +$13 +48%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $25 +$2 +6%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $30 +$4 +14%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $91 +$27 +29%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 01 $50 +$12 +24%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $50 +$12 +24%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $56 −$55 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner May 31 $50 +$5 +10%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $71 −$70 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 30 $20 +$2 +8%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner May 30 $15 +$11 +73%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 30 $30 +$2 +5%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $30 +$3 +11%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 30 $60 +$2 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $60 +$2 +4%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner May 30 $20 +$2 +10%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner May 26 $15 +$24 +158%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 25 $30 −$30 -99%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner May 25 $15 +$4 +24%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner May 25 $30 +$2 +6%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 May 25 $30 +$13 +42%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner May 25 $30 +$17 +55%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 25 $50 +$5 +10%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 25 $66 +$25 +37%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner May 24 $20 +$6 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% −$30
other 15% −$152
world 0% +$2
crypto 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 78¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 65¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 100¢ $67 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 74¢ $15 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 75¢ $50 3h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 15¢ $5 22h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $20 26h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 31¢ $5 26h
Peru vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score BUY No 62¢ $15 3d
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 58¢ $15 3d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 78¢ $29 4d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 91¢ $30 4d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY G2 83¢ $30 4d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Legacy 80¢ $20 4d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 39¢ $20 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY Karmine Corp 49¢ $5 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 56¢ $6 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY Karmine Corp 42¢ $15 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 14¢ $5 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Dplus KIA 75¢ $30 5d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5) BUY Karmine Corp 57¢ $18 6d
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 59¢ $25 6d
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 62¢ $20 6d
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY Karmine Corp 73¢ $25 6d
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 49¢ $20 6d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Dplus KIA 81¢ $30 6d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 73¢ $20 6d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY FlyQuest 66¢ $30 7d
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs BUY ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix 74¢ $101 8d
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL FlyQuest 100¢ $112 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +5.0% -5.0% 71% 67% +0.9%
≤30d 88 +3.8% -6.1% 83% 50% -9.3%
≤90d 787 -1.6% -11.0% 74% 58% -11.1%
all 787 -1.6% -11.0% 74% 58% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 58% -11.1%
10% -19.5% 36% -19.6%
15% -27.3% 21% -27.4%
20% -34.4% 12% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $83.90 · official $83.90 (match) · 1612 history records