trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 5.5 | Under | 93¢ | 100¢ | $19 | $20 | +$1 (+8%) |
| Spread: Georgia (-2.5) | Romania | 94¢ | 100¢ | $16 | $17 | +$1 (+6%) |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5 | Over | 93¢ | 92¢ | $11 | $11 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $9 | $10 | +$1 (+9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Georgia (-2.5) | Jun 02 | $16 | +$1 | +6% |
| Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 5.5 | May 23 | $19 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14? | May 14 | $9 | +$1 | +9% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Mar 30 | $13 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on March 28? | Mar 29 | $13 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ma | Mar 29 | $169 | −$169 | -100% |
| Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | Mar 28 | $742 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? | Mar 28 | $71 | −$19 | -27% |
| Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this el | Mar 28 | $782 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Mar 28 | $1,516 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Mar 28 | $773 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? | Mar 28 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Mar 28 | $76 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Mar 28 | $707 | +$4 | +1% |
| Will Robert Lebovics be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jerse | Mar 28 | $46 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Mar 28 | $745 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Mar 28 | $751 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Mar 28 | $61 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Con | Mar 28 | $775 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Mar 28 | $691 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after | Mar 28 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +7.0% | -3.2% | 100% | 0% | -3.2% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -4.3% | -13.5% | 52% | 0% | -11.6% |
| all | 21 | -4.3% | -13.5% | 52% | 0% | -11.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.5% | 0% | -11.6% |
| 10% | -21.7% | 0% | -20.0% |
| 15% | -29.3% | 0% | -27.8% |
| 20% | -36.2% | 0% | -34.8% |