Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:58:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe1ff…a198
world · 40 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses10 / 30
Open positions0
Markets (closed)40 / 40
History coverage262d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 0 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$1
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 14 $28 +$1 +2%
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? Jun 13 $28 $0 -0%
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Jun 13 $31 $0 -0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 13 $21 $0 -0%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Jun 11 $28 $0 -0%
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Jun 10 $31 −$1 -2%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Jun 10 $32 $0 -2%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $57 $0 -0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 06 $43 $0 +0%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 05 $32 $0 +0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $32 −$3 -9%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? Oct 11 $2 +$2 +112%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Oct 06 $22 $0 +0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia? Oct 06 $23 $0 +0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Oct 05 $22 $0 +0%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? Oct 05 $42 −$1 -3%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? Oct 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? Oct 04 $23 $0 -0%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Oct 02 $27 $0 +0%
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? Oct 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? Oct 01 $10 $0 -0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE? Oct 01 $10 $0 +0%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Oct 01 $9 $0 +0%
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025? Sep 30 $27 $0 +0%
Will Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) be part of the next Governme Sep 30 $20 $0 +0%
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people? Sep 30 $8 $0 +0%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Sep 29 $21 $0 +0%
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 Sep 29 $8 $0 +0%
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? Sep 28 $1 $0 -2%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Sep 28 $6 $0 +0%
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? Sep 28 $22 $0 -0%
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Sep 28 $23 $0 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Sep 27 $3 $0 +0%
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in th Sep 27 $22 $0 -0%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no Sep 27 $2 $0 -0%
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? Sep 27 $27 $0 +0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Sep 26 $27 $0 +0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? Sep 26 $27 $0 -0%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Dec Sep 26 $27 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 45% −$4
other 24% −$1
politics 16% $0
sports 7% $0
crypto 5% $0
economics 3% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 56¢ $29 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 55¢ $18 3h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 55¢ $2 3h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 55¢ $8 3h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $28 15h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $28 17h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $31 19h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $31 21h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 42¢ $16 27h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 42¢ $6 27h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY No 42¢ $21 27h
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $28 3d
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $28 3d
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $31 3d
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $31 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? SELL Yes 63¢ $4 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? SELL Yes 63¢ $27 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 64¢ $32 3d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $29 5d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $1 5d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $26 5d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $28 5d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $31 5d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 96¢ $32 6d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY No 95¢ $31 6d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 96¢ $18 6d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY No 96¢ $18 7d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 81¢ $29 7d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? BUY No 81¢ $27 7d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? BUY No 81¢ $2 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -0.2% -9.7% 22% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 12 -0.9% -10.3% 25% 0% -10.3%
≤90d 12 -0.9% -10.3% 25% 0% -10.3%
all 40 -0.1% -9.6% 25% 2% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 2% -10.0%
10% -18.3% 2% -18.6%
15% -26.2% 2% -26.5%
20% -33.4% 2% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 117 history records