trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 50% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 36% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 36% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 27 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 56% | 0% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 0% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $35 | $35 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 23 | $35 | $0 | +1% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $35 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 16 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 15 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 14 | $57 | $0 | -1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 13 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 12 | $37 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 11 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 10 | $38 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $9 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 23? | May 24 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Estonia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final? | May 07 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? | May 07 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference? | May 07 | $12 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 18 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 17 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dillon Danis win the match? | Mar 30 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference? | Mar 25 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Playboi Carti's "MUSIC" debuts at #1 on Billboard 200? | Mar 23 | $13 | $0 | -2% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | Mar 21 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days? | Mar 17 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 12 | $13 | $0 | -0% |