trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 32 | -28.8% | -35.6% | 34% | 34% | -39.8% |
| ≤30d | 40 | -25.8% | -32.9% | 35% | 35% | -39.0% |
| ≤90d | 40 | -25.8% | -32.9% | 35% | 35% | -39.0% |
| all | 40 | -25.8% | -32.9% | 35% | 35% | -39.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.9% | 35% | -39.0% |
| 10% | -39.3% | 32% | -44.9% |
| 15% | -45.1% | 32% | -50.2% |
| 20% | -50.5% | 25% | -55.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $100 | −$35 | -35% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $100 | +$42 | +42% |
| Spread: Portugal (-3.5) | Jun 17 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $191 | −$190 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo? | Jun 17 | $28 | −$27 | -98% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $9 | −$9 | -99% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $222 | −$217 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $555 | −$135 | -24% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$11 | +206% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $245 | +$405 | +166% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $20 | −$15 | -74% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $553 | −$488 | -88% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $202 | −$186 | -92% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-4.5) | Jun 15 | $61 | −$61 | -100% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $26 | +$20 | +76% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 15 | $132 | −$130 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5 | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $15 | +$13 | +86% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $10 | +$8 | +79% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $50 | +$7 | +14% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $10 | +$8 | +79% |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 14 | $50 | +$48 | +97% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $51 | +$21 | +42% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | −$5 | -54% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $58 | −$57 | -99% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $10 | +$7 | +67% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Neither team to score first? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$12 | +116% |
| Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $10 | +$14 | +140% |