Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:29:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe227…730f
crypto · 75 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$237 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$237 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$237
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses34 / 41
Open positions0
Markets (closed)75 / 75
Avg bet$20
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 75 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$169
7 days−$169
14 days−$169
30 days−$169
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$13 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $65 +$26 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$17 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $83 −$80 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$44 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$28 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$28 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$17 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $36 −$35 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $35 −$34 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $165 −$160 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $108 +$88 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $72 +$68 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$37 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $41 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Mar 04 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Mar 04 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Mar 04 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Mar 04 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Mar 04 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Mar 04 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Mar 04 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Mar 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Mar 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Mar 03 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Mar 03 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Mar 03 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Mar 03 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$237
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $31 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $28 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $31 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $19 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $83 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $52 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $31 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $31 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $19 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -3.4% -12.6% 51% 51% -21.5%
≤30d 37 -3.4% -12.6% 51% 51% -21.5%
≤90d 37 -3.4% -12.6% 51% 51% -21.5%
all 75 -12.9% -21.2% 45% 45% -23.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.2% 45% -23.8%
10% -28.7% 45% -31.1%
15% -35.6% 45% -37.7%
20% -41.9% 44% -43.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 144 history records