Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:06:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe228…1f4c
crypto · 195 markets active 12h ago
0.0score
−$6,507 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,886 · open −$156
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$309
Realized−$4,886
Unrealized−$156
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses38 / 148
Whale WR (big bets)24%
Open positions9
Markets (closed)186 / 195
History coverage94d
Avg bet$340
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 9 History 186 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$1,567
14 days+$2,302
30 days+$1,374
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $185 $115 −$69 (-38%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16? Yes 10¢ 6¢ $121 $79 −$42 (-34%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No 20¢ 11¢ $79 $43 −$36 (-45%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $12 $30 +$18 (+150%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15? Yes 7¢ 3¢ $35 $17 −$18 (-51%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+49%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $7 $5 −$2 (-25%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $2 −$8 (-80%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $1 −$5 (-79%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 24? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3? No 25¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 8? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 8? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? No 0¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 8? No 3¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 11 $33 −$8 -25%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $35 −$29 -84%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $43 −$34 -81%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $608 −$393 -65%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $52 −$49 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 09 $82 −$48 -58%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $258 −$124 -48%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 8? Jun 07 $135 −$94 -70%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 8? Jun 07 $53 −$49 -94%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 8? Jun 07 $25 −$24 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $66 −$12 -18%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 7? Jun 07 $45 −$21 -48%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7? Jun 07 $79 −$74 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9? Jun 07 $78 −$44 -57%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 10? Jun 05 $603 −$563 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $35 −$11 -32%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet Jun 04 $316 −$50 -16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 04 $158 −$26 -16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8? Jun 04 $0 $0 -10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 04 $1 $0 -30%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $413 −$155 -38%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $420 +$558 +133%
Will Solana reach $160 in June? Jun 03 $155 −$118 -76%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $61 +$37 +61%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? Jun 03 $388 +$142 +37%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $615 +$38 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4? Jun 03 $107 −$23 -21%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $107 +$1,423 +1335%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $103 +$2,066 +1998%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31? Jun 01 $7 −$7 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 3? Jun 01 $10 −$6 -56%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27? May 27 $136 −$98 -72%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27? May 26 $114 −$5 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28? May 26 $498 +$78 +16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28? May 26 $457 −$303 -66%
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 24? May 24 $64 −$60 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 23? May 23 $91 −$69 -76%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25? May 23 $143 −$43 -30%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23? May 23 $114 −$44 -38%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26? May 23 $280 −$156 -56%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 22? May 23 $322 −$139 -43%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18? May 18 $73 −$62 -86%
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17? May 18 $26 −$13 -48%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? May 18 $119 −$15 -13%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 12? May 12 $216 −$36 -16%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May? May 07 $898 −$363 -40%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? May 06 $1,324 +$49 +4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me Apr 29 $174 −$137 -79%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 29? Apr 29 $33 −$26 -80%
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 29? Apr 29 $190 −$157 -82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 47% −$1,822
crypto 40% −$1,938
economics 10% −$515
other 1% −$301
world 1% −$230
sports 1% −$98
tech 0% −$131
politics 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15? BUY Yes 7¢ $38 12h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16? BUY Yes 10¢ $129 12h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY Yes 0¢ $25 25h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? SELL No 8¢ $25 25h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY No 20¢ $81 37h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? BUY No 9¢ $33 37h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on BUY Yes 0¢ $10 39h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $10 39h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on BUY Yes 0¢ $6 39h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on BUY Yes 0¢ $7 39h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on BUY Yes 0¢ $10 39h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on I BUY Yes 0¢ $12 39h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $37 39h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY Yes 0¢ $14 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? SELL Yes 2¢ $6 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? SELL No 1¢ $8 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? BUY No 0¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? BUY No 0¢ $1 2d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY Yes 0¢ $191 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? BUY No 1¢ $27 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? BUY No 3¢ $43 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 1¢ $52 2d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $53 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 8¢ $35 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? SELL No 1¢ $35 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? BUY No 3¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? BUY No 3¢ $27 2d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $29 2d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY Yes 0¢ $48 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? BUY No 3¢ $53 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -73.7% -76.2% 0% 0% -78.4%
≤30d 44 +40.3% +27.0% 16% 16% +16.2%
≤90d 183 -11.1% -19.5% 20% 19% -16.4%
all 186 -11.1% -19.6% 20% 19% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.6% 19% -16.4%
10% -27.3% 16% -24.4%
15% -34.3% 13% -31.7%
20% -40.7% 11% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $308.68 · official $308.42 (match) · 957 history records