trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +3.0% | -6.8% | 100% | 0% | -6.8% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +4.6% | -5.4% | 100% | 20% | -6.3% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +4.6% | -5.4% | 100% | 20% | -6.3% |
| all | 5 | +4.6% | -5.4% | 100% | 20% | -6.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -5.4% | 20% | -6.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -14.4% | 0% | -15.2% |
| 15% | -22.7% | 0% | -23.4% |
| 20% | -30.3% | 0% | -30.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | $4,888 | $4,907 | +$19 (+0%) |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | $3,940 | $3,979 | +$39 (+1%) |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $311 | $318 | +$7 (+2%) |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $125 | $140 | +$14 (+11%) |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $29 | $29 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30? | Jun 17 | $755 | +$26 | +3% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 16 | $1,688 | +$49 | +3% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? | Jun 16 | $2,329 | +$58 | +2% |
| Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A | Jun 14 | $5,356 | +$176 | +3% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamen | Jun 04 | $758 | +$83 | +11% |