Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:27:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe238…8bf0
crypto · 6 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
−$17 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses4 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)5 / 6
History coverage8d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$24
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 08 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 07 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 07 $30 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 06 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 06 $25 +$4 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% −$18
sports 18% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 98¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $31 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $30 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $30 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -25.5% -32.6% 67% 33% -32.9%
≤30d 5 -11.3% -19.8% 80% 40% -20.8%
≤90d 5 -11.3% -19.8% 80% 40% -20.8%
all 5 -11.3% -19.8% 80% 40% -20.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.8% 40% -20.8%
10% -27.5% 0% -28.4%
15% -34.5% 0% -35.3%
20% -40.9% 0% -41.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.66 · official $30.66 (match) · 15 history records