Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:19:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe246…dedc
sports · 1125 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$78 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$132 · open +$54
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$455
Realized−$132
Unrealized+$54
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses596 / 492
Est. fees paid−$124
Open positions37
Markets (closed)1088 / 1125
History coverage23d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day94.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 37 History 1088 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days−$155
14 days+$6
30 days−$132
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 24¢ 81¢ $30 $104 +$74 (+245%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 43¢ 99¢ $30 $69 +$39 (+131%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 19¢ 20¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+3%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Over 51¢ 50¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 78¢ 78¢ $28 $28 −$0 (-0%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 76¢ 81¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+7%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 52¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Over 50¢ 38¢ $20 $15 −$5 (-24%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 78¢ 78¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 43¢ 42¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 70¢ 96¢ $6 $9 +$2 (+38%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 63¢ 66¢ $8 $9 +$0 (+6%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 44¢ 96¢ $4 $9 +$5 (+121%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 42¢ 42¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 50¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+7%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5 Under 49¢ 22¢ $11 $5 −$6 (-54%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 34¢ 12¢ $13 $5 −$8 (-63%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 69¢ 72¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Under 62¢ 30¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-52%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 61¢ 60¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 55¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5) Toronto Blue Jays 60¢ 55¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-9%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 75¢ 74¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +79%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $29 +$6 +22%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$2 +70%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $6 +$3 +53%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $11 +$1 +5%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $3 $0 -2%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $7 +$4 +59%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $11 +$5 +44%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $17 +$4 +24%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $6 −$4 -66%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $4 +$6 +165%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $21 −$7 -34%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $9 +$4 +47%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $2 +$2 +73%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $2 +$3 +140%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $7 −$5 -73%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $8 +$3 +37%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $5 +$3 +76%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $5 +$3 +75%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $3 −$1 -16%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $2 +$1 +49%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $16 +$3 +19%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $30 −$26 -87%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $18 −$2 -14%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 −$2 -50%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 +$7 +129%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) Jun 12 $13 +$1 +6%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $16 +$7 +44%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $30 +$7 +23%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $31 −$31 -100%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $12 −$1 -10%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$19
other 7% −$70
crypto 0% $0
world 0% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 69¢ $5 27m
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5) BUY Toronto Blue Jays 60¢ $2 28m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 49¢ $11 28m
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5) BUY Toronto Blue Jays 60¢ $2 28m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 60¢ $4 28m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 24¢ $5 35m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 78¢ $2 41m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 78¢ $23 41m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 31¢ $2 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Curaçao 54¢ $1 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 51¢ $27 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 63¢ $8 1h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 49¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 43¢ $1 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 45¢ $2 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 43¢ $2 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 70¢ $7 2h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 47¢ $4 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 43¢ $2 2h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 47¢ $3 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 49¢ $1 2h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 43¢ $31 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 BUY Under 62¢ $3 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 BUY Under 62¢ $3 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 BUY Under 62¢ $1 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 BUY Under 62¢ $3 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $1 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 34¢ $3 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 BUY Under 84¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 322 -5.4% -14.4% 51% 50% -14.4%
≤30d 1088 -0.3% -9.8% 55% 53% -10.8%
≤90d 1088 -0.3% -9.8% 55% 53% -10.8%
all 1088 -0.3% -9.8% 55% 53% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover94.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 53% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 50% -19.3%
15% -26.3% 40% -27.1%
20% -33.6% 31% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $454.83 · official $455.37 (match) · 3500 history records