Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:10:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E2 0xe258…6244 crypto 291 markets active 4d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (1001 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$985 (-14%) realized −$985 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -38% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -52% what you keep after slip
Net edge-52%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate27%80W / 211L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day1001.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,245
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1001 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-43.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 291 -37.8% -43.8% 27% 25% -28.3%
≤30d 291 -37.8% -43.8% 27% 25% -28.3%
≤90d 291 -37.8% -43.8% 27% 25% -28.3%
all 291 -37.8% -43.8% 27% 25% -28.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1001.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -43.8% 25% -28.3%
10% ← realistic here -49.1% 22% -35.1%
15% -54.1% 20% -41.4%
20% -58.6% 19% -47.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -17% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -38% · $-wt -17% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -67% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$17 vs −$12 · ×1.37 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.52 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$985
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses80 / 211
Open positions0
Markets (closed)291 / 291
History coverage2d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day1001.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 291 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2271 history records