Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:20:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe25a…93d3
sports · 164 markets active 4h ago
4.5score
−$567 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$566 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Chart Positions 1 History 163 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$572
14 days−$552
30 days−$336
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BC Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Juventus Utena BC Zalgiris Kaunas 94¢ 94¢ $105 $105 −$1 (-1%)
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 Over 87¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Paris Basketball vs. Cholet Paris Basketball 84¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-29? Yes 89¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5 Over 77¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
CSKA Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Kuban CSKA Moscow 88¢ $232 $0 −$232 (-100%)
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5 Over 72¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs Basilashvili Rublev 65¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Rockets Rockets 83¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 Over 90¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Paris Basketball vs. Chalon/Saone Paris Basketball 88¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Aryna Sabalenka 89¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Elise Mertens 77¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
BC Zenit vs. Uralmash BC Zenit 87¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife Real Madrid 89¢ $599 $0 −$599 (-100%)
ITF Grado: Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide vs Federica Trevisan Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide 85¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $101 +$11 +11%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $79 −$79 -100%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $169 +$21 +12%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $170 +$17 +10%
Norway vs. Austria: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $144 +$26 +18%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $136 +$20 +14%
Wydad Athletic Club vs. OC Safi: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $126 +$10 +8%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5 Jun 07 $124 +$9 +7%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5 Jun 07 $114 +$8 +7%
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 0.5 Jun 07 $114 +$6 +5%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Donna Vekic vs Carole Monnet Jun 07 $107 +$8 +7%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $100 +$6 +6%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $112 −$112 -100%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $95 +$18 +19%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 0.5 Jun 06 $91 +$5 +5%
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 06 $599 −$599 -100%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5 Jun 06 $570 +$29 +5%
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 0.5 Jun 05 $560 +$26 +5%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 0.5 Jun 04 $532 +$27 +5%
Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $514 +$38 +7%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 03 $499 +$26 +5%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 03 $52 −$52 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 03 $47 +$5 +11%
Paris Basketball vs. Cholet Jun 02 $402 −$400 -100%
Heilbronn: Marco Trungelliti vs Abedallah Shelbayh Jun 02 $369 +$51 +14%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Telekom Baskets Bonn Jun 01 $351 +$42 +12%
Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $342 +$45 +13%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Jun 01 $304 +$37 +12%
Will Germany win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $290 +$34 +12%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann May 31 $231 +$27 +12%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 May 30 $204 +$59 +29%
Paris Basketball vs. Strasbourg May 30 $181 +$24 +13%
Valencia vs. Gran Canaria May 29 $171 +$36 +21%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar May 29 $151 +$21 +14%
BC Dubai vs. Buducnost May 28 $131 +$32 +24%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo Gaston May 28 $139 +$17 +12%
Fenerbahce vs. Esenler Erokspor May 27 $136 +$15 +11%
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Marco Trungelliti May 27 $107 +$10 +10%
Paris Basketball vs. Strasbourg May 27 $120 +$18 +15%
World Championships: Hungary vs. Latvia May 26 $108 +$12 +11%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin May 26 $108 +$10 +10%
Roland Garros ATP: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Rafael Jodar May 25 $98 +$10 +11%
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid May 24 $80 +$17 +22%
Unicaja vs. CB Breogan Lugo May 23 $65 +$15 +23%
CSKA Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Kuban May 23 $56 +$9 +17%
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce May 22 $37 +$19 +50%
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 May 22 $33 +$5 +14%
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud May 21 $25 +$8 +32%
ITF Monastir: Nao Phang Ziyi vs Karla Bartel May 21 $23 +$2 +8%
Portland Fire vs. Indiana Fever May 21 $20 +$3 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$573
other 6% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BC Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Juventus Utena BUY BC Zalgiris Kaunas 94¢ $105 4h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 90¢ $101 21h
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens BUY Elise Mertens 77¢ $79 24h
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $190 36h
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 89¢ $53 37h
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 89¢ $9 37h
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 89¢ $85 37h
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 89¢ $22 37h
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $187 2d
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 90¢ $1 2d
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 90¢ $122 2d
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 90¢ $10 2d
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 90¢ $18 2d
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 90¢ $19 2d
Norway vs. Austria: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 99¢ $170 2d
Norway vs. Austria: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 84¢ $1 2d
Norway vs. Austria: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 84¢ $125 2d
Norway vs. Austria: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 84¢ $18 2d
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $156 3d
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 87¢ $136 3d
Wydad Athletic Club vs. OC Safi: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 99¢ $136 3d
Wydad Athletic Club vs. OC Safi: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $1 3d
Wydad Athletic Club vs. OC Safi: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $86 3d
Wydad Athletic Club vs. OC Safi: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $39 3d
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 99¢ $132 4d
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 93¢ $124 4d
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $123 4d
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 93¢ $114 4d
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $120 4d
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 95¢ $114 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -8.9% -17.6% 83% 28% -24.3%
≤30d 65 +3.2% -6.7% 89% 63% -12.4%
≤90d 163 +2.1% -7.6% 88% 65% -12.4%
all 163 +2.1% -7.6% 88% 65% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.6% 65% -12.4%
10% -16.5% 16% -20.8%
15% -24.5% 2% -28.5%
20% -31.9% 1% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $104.72 · official $104.72 (match) · 377 history records