trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.4% | -9.8% | 33% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 43% | 14% | -8.2% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +4.5% | -5.5% | 55% | 18% | -8.3% |
| all | 19 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 58% | 16% | -10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.4% | 16% | -10.6% |
| 10% | -19.0% | 11% | -19.2% |
| 15% | -26.8% | 11% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -34.0% | 0% | -34.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Jun 21 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 20 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 20 | $36 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 18 | $14 | +$2 | +11% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $35 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $38 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 26 | $2 | +$1 | +37% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 25 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 25 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | May 23 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 23–30? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Raymond Burke be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved? | Mar 23 | $3 | $0 | -7% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on February 24? | Feb 24 | $1 | $0 | -12% |
| Gonzaga vs. Washington State | Feb 23 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election? | Feb 23 | $3 | +$1 | +41% |