Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T18:37:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
E2 0xe272…02a4 sports 10 markets active 5d ago coverage 394d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$58 (-23%) realized −$58 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -79% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -81% what you keep after slip
Net edge-81%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate10%1W / 9L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day0.0pace
Kalshi-fit70%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 41% −$106
politics 37% +$103
other 14% −$35
world 8% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-81.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 5 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 10 -79.2% -81.2% 10% 10% -30.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -81.2% 10% -30.1%
10% -83.0% 10% -36.7%
15% -84.6% 10% -42.9%
20% -86.1% 10% -48.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -100% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -79% · $-wt -23% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$103 vs −$18 · ×5.75 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

394d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$58
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)10%
Wins / losses1 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage394d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 10 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Inter Milan beat PSG in the first half? Mar 31 $20 −$20 -100%
Will PSG win 4-0? Mar 31 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Chelsea vs. PSG end in a draw? Mar 31 $20 −$20 -100%
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? Mar 31 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? May 20 $50 −$50 -100%
Will the Champions League Final be decided in a penalty shoot-out? May 20 $16 −$16 -100%
Champions League Final: 3+ goals? May 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Marcus Thuram be named the Champions League Final man of the matc May 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? May 19 $95 +$103 +108%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 22¢ $10 4d
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? BUY Yes 58¢ $20 158d
Will Chelsea vs. PSG end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $20 339d
Will PSG win 4-0? BUY Yes 50¢ $5 339d
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? BUY Yes 41¢ $50 394d
Will the Champions League Final be decided in a penalty shoot-out? BUY Yes 16¢ $16 394d
Champions League Final: 3+ goals? BUY No 47¢ $10 394d
Will Marcus Thuram be named the Champions League Final man of the matc BUY Yes 12¢ $10 394d
Will Inter Milan beat PSG in the first half? BUY Yes 26¢ $20 394d
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? BUY Yes 48¢ $95 398d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 15 history records