Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:08:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe2a1…ba57
crypto · 1263 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$35 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses145 / 1118
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1263 / 1263
History coverage66d
Avg bet$0
Trades / day20.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1263 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$5
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8PM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6PM ET Jun 04 $2 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7AM ET Jun 04 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2AM ET Jun 04 $1 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11PM ET Jun 04 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10PM ET Jun 04 $1 +$2 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5PM ET Jun 03 $2 +$1 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-70.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -0.6% -10.1% 56% 56% -6.6%
≤30d 96 -1.3% -10.7% 55% 55% -7.7%
≤90d 1263 -67.4% -70.5% 11% 11% -18.5%
all 1263 -67.4% -70.5% 11% 11% -18.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -70.5% 11% -18.5%
10% ← realistic here -73.4% 11% -26.3%
15% -75.9% 11% -33.4%
20% -78.3% 11% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records