Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:54:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe2a7…1320
other · 651 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$88 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$91 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$91
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses252 / 398
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)650 / 651
History coverage145d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day6.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit28%
Chart Positions 1 History 650 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$3
14 days−$19
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: Both Teams to Score Yes 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-16? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Benin win on 2026-06-05? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-29? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-04-13? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-21? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will América de Cali win on 2026-05-28? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-05-28? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-31? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Modern SC win on 2026-05-23? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-05? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 -42%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -50%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +109%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1 +$1 +59%
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1 $0 +48%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -50%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -50%
Will Niger win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -51%
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $1 −$1 -52%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 $0 +22%
Tochigi SC vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $1 +$1 +57%
Will Fukushima United FC vs. FC Ryūkyū end in a draw? Jun 07 $1 +$2 +150%
Blaublitz Akita vs. Kagoshima United FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
Venezuela vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $1 $0 +46%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $1 $0 +13%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 06 $1 $0 +8%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $1 $0 +47%
Will Russia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $1 +$1 +57%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -50%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -50%
Will Benin win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -50%
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -52%
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $1 $0 +44%
Will Slovenia vs. Cyprus end in a draw? Jun 05 $1 +$1 +100%
Will Singapore win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -99%
Panama vs. Dominican Republic: Both Teams to Score Jun 04 $1 +$1 +55%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Pakistan vs West Indies Jun 03 $5 −$1 -27%
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -51%
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $1 −$1 -53%
Morocco vs. Madagascar: Both Teams to Score Jun 02 $1 −$1 -51%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -50%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -50%
Will FC Universitario win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Northamptonshire Jun 01 $1 $0 +36%
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 $0 +48%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $1 +$1 +105%
Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 +$2 +158%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies Jun 01 $5 −$5 -98%
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $1 −$1 -51%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 72% −$56
sports 20% −$29
crypto 8% −$9
world 1% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 25¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 26¢ $0 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 54¢ $0 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 13h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $1 13h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 43¢ $0 13h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $1 13h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 40h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 40h
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 42¢ $1 4d
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 4d
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 4d
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 42¢ $0 5d
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 43¢ $1 5d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 48¢ $0 5d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 5d
Will Niger win on 2026-06-08? SELL Yes 30¢ $0 5d
Will Niger win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 5d
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 49¢ $0 5d
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 52¢ $1 5d
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 5d
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-06-08? SELL Yes 43¢ $0 5d
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 44¢ $1 5d
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? SELL Yes 76¢ $1 6d
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? SELL Yes 51¢ $0 6d
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 51¢ $1 6d
Tochigi SC vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 63¢ $1 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-21.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -32.1% -38.6% 39% 39% -28.1%
≤30d 121 -17.2% -25.1% 40% 39% -19.2%
≤90d 455 -44.8% -50.1% 24% 24% -52.1%
all 650 -13.1% -21.4% 39% 38% -20.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.4% 38% -20.3%
10% -28.9% 37% -28.0%
15% -35.8% 34% -34.9%
20% -42.1% 29% -41.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1463 history records