Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:04:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E2 0xe2b2…5ad7 crypto 754 markets active 5d ago coverage 20d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$164 (-6%) realized −$164 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR57%break-even
Win rate57%430W / 324L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day41.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$7now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$65
14 days−$206
30 days−$272
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$272
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -32.9% -39.2% 41% 41% -44.6%
≤30d 754 -7.2% -16.1% 57% 57% -18.1%
≤90d 754 -7.2% -16.1% 57% 57% -18.1%
all 754 -7.2% -16.1% 57% 57% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover41.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.1% 57% -18.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 53% -26.0%
15% -31.4% 39% -33.1%
20% -38.2% 26% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$7
Realized−$164
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses430 / 324
Open positions0
Markets (closed)754 / 754
History coverage20d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day41.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 754 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +75%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$8 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +122%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$3 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.30 · official $7.30 (match) · 1613 history records