Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:21:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe2be…ff33
weather · 854 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,217 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,647 · open −$206
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8,152
Realized−$6,647
Unrealized−$206
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses182 / 510
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Open positions23
Markets (closed)692 / 854
History coverage11d
Avg bet$85
Trades / day295.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 23 History 692 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,833
7 days−$7,822
14 days−$6,647
30 days−$6,647
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $3,474 $3,476 +$2 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $2,157 $2,158 +$1 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15? No 100¢ 100¢ $751 $752 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $489 $494 +$5 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $397 $398 +$1 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 15? No 99¢ 99¢ $320 $321 +$1 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14? Yes 95¢ 84¢ $307 $271 −$36 (-12%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15? No 97¢ 90¢ $135 $126 −$9 (-7%)
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 14? No 99¢ 100¢ $60 $61 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 14? No 95¢ 100¢ $57 $61 +$3 (+6%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $30 $1 −$29 (-98%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$4 (-90%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 14? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-94%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 15? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+40%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-95%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-99%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 12? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 14? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-95%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 22? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 7? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 22? Jun 14 $6 −$13 -207%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28? Jun 14 $85 −$85 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 14? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 21? Jun 14 $203 −$203 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 3? Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 15? Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 2? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 16? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 2? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 22? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 27? Jun 14 $31 −$35 -111%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24? Jun 14 $17 −$17 -103%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on Ma Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 23? Jun 14 $155 −$155 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 18? Jun 14 $168 −$168 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 29? Jun 14 $82 −$82 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 14? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 20? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on May 23? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ma Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 26? Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 29? Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 20? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 18? Jun 14 $44 −$44 -100%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on Ju Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 25? Jun 14 $57 −$57 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 1 Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 27? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 15? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 30? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or higher on May 15? Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May Jun 14 $124 −$124 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on Ma Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 29? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 1? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 23? Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 15? Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 18? Jun 14 $89 −$89 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 25? Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 21? Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 30? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 13? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 25? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 27? Jun 14 $12 −$13 -104%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on Ma Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 4? Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31? Jun 14 $3 −$13 -464%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 2? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$1,025
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15? BUY No 96¢ $18 16m
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15? BUY No 97¢ $79 16m
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15? BUY No 96¢ $39 30m
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 49m
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $44 49m
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $1,345 56m
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $215 56m
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 96¢ $234 56m
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 95¢ $10 59m
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 94¢ $23 59m
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 93¢ $27 59m
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 93¢ $7 59m
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 92¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $22 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $12 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $22 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $25 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $286 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $89 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $751 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $100 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $6 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $81 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $2,129 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14? SELL No 9¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-33.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 455 -34.4% -40.7% 19% 7% -28.3%
≤30d 692 -26.8% -33.8% 26% 11% -18.7%
≤90d 692 -26.8% -33.8% 26% 11% -18.7%
all 692 -26.8% -33.8% 26% 11% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover295.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.8% 11% -18.7%
10% ← realistic here -40.1% 9% -26.5%
15% -45.9% 8% -33.6%
20% -51.2% 6% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,151.80 · official $8,151.80 (match) · 3500 history records