Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:18:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe2cc…893c
sports · 558 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$13,655 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,134 · open −$521
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,556
Realized−$13,134
Unrealized−$521
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses263 / 291
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$2,087
Open positions4
Markets (closed)554 / 558
History coverage42d
Avg bet$416
Trades / day70.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 554 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,366
7 days−$1,237
14 days−$2,783
30 days−$8,091
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 74¢ $533 $585 +$52 (+10%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 44¢ 100¢ $180 $413 +$233 (+130%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 72¢ 100¢ $246 $342 +$95 (+39%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 28¢ 100¢ $48 $169 +$121 (+253%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 69¢ 100¢ $27 $39 +$12 (+45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Down 13¢ 0¢ $165 $7 −$159 (-96%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 14¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 0¢ $285 $0 −$285 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 21¢ 0¢ $287 $0 −$287 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $58 −$38 -66%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $393 −$67 -17%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $320 −$287 -90%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1,678 −$175 -10%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,187 +$411 +35%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $413 +$29 +7%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,071 +$50 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $495 +$921 +186%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $39 −$39 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $382 +$537 +140%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $280 +$116 +41%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $4,106 −$3,176 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $507 +$351 +69%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1,000 +$268 +27%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $41 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $657 +$129 +20%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1,362 +$602 +44%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1,185 −$136 -12%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $670 +$172 +26%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $1,249 +$552 +44%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $897 +$215 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $240 +$35 +14%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $283 −$166 -59%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $596 +$3 +0%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $499 −$190 -38%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 08 $107 −$9 -9%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $588 −$382 -65%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $43 −$43 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $207 +$389 +188%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $40 +$10 +24%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $1,539 +$448 +29%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $177 −$81 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7? Jun 07 $604 +$34 +6%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1,066 −$1,044 -98%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 07 $10 +$1 +10%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $210 +$80 +38%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $236 +$231 +98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $761 −$304 -40%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $480 −$460 -96%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $113 +$83 +73%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $120 +$27 +23%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $154 +$13 +9%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $327 +$119 +36%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $344 +$127 +37%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $1,115 −$1,031 -92%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $78 −$78 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $35 −$16 -45%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $669 −$269 -40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% −$13,038
crypto 10% −$616
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $539 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 1¢ $0 29m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 1¢ $0 29m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 12¢ $97 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 3¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 2¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 3¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 3¢ $1 48m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 22¢ $21 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 4¢ $0 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 4¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 4¢ $0 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 4¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 7¢ $7 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 13¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 15¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 25¢ $13 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 26¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 76¢ $38 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 50¢ $71 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 61¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 66¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 23¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 29¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 13¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 85¢ $84 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 14¢ $44 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 78¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 82¢ $162 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 +1.3% -8.3% 56% 43% -12.4%
≤30d 364 -12.2% -20.6% 46% 37% -15.0%
≤90d 554 -11.6% -20.0% 47% 36% -14.7%
all 554 -11.6% -20.0% 47% 36% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 36% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 24% -22.8%
15% -34.7% 16% -30.3%
20% -41.1% 11% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,555.57 · official $1,526.60 · 3500 history records