Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:21:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
E2 0xe2e4…d27b crypto 1212 markets active 0h ago coverage 64d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1,203 (+0%) realized +$1,203 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR7%break-even
Win rate97%1181W / 31L
Whale WR99%big bets
Drawdown86%max
Avg bet$333per market
Trades / day33.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$39
7 days+$224
14 days−$3,265
30 days−$366
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$879
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 +1.5% -8.2% 99% 3% -8.2%
≤30d 479 +0.4% -9.2% 97% 8% -9.6%
≤90d 1212 +0.7% -8.9% 97% 7% -9.3%
all 1212 +0.7% -8.9% 97% 7% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover33.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 7% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 1% -18.0%
15% -25.6% 0% -25.9%
20% -32.9% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 99% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$160 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.18 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

64d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,203
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1181 / 31
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1212 / 1212
History coverage64d
Avg bet$333
Trades / day33.7
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1212 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $197 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $197 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $196 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $194 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $195 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $194 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $194 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $189 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $194 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $192 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $189 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $191 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $195 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $165 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $195 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $195 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $193 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $194 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $195 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $195 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $196 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $195 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $186 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $196 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $193 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $193 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $191 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $190 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $191 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $189 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $186 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $189 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $185 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $197 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $197 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $196 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $194 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $195 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $194 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $194 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $43 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $146 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $189 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $189 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $194 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $192 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $189 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $191 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $189 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $185 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $165 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $35 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $22 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $138 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $195 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $193 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3379 history records