trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 67% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 20% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 18 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 11% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $113 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $113 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 30 | $113 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 20 | $113 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 16 | $113 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $113 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 18 | $114 | $0 | +0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 16 | $114 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 10 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 01 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no | Mar 26 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 23 | $115 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 16 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 13 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ma | Mar 06 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 05 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 02 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Mar 02 | $116 | $0 | +0% |