Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:59:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe2f2…439d
crypto · 111 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$265 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$553 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$553
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses43 / 68
Open positions0
Markets (closed)111 / 111
History coverage63d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 111 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$565
7 days−$565
14 days−$577
30 days−$577
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $218 −$23 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$2 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$1 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $63 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $85 −$12 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$15 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $143 +$10 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $143 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $258 −$143 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $56 −$31 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $228 +$6 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$11 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $111 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $238 −$145 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$32 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $48 +$14 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $160 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $83 −$3 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$4 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $115 −$80 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$22 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$11 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $138 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 4? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$552
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $194 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-25.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -41.8% -47.4% 22% 7% -24.5%
≤30d 106 -23.0% -30.3% 37% 19% -23.6%
≤90d 111 -18.1% -25.9% 39% 21% -22.8%
all 111 -18.1% -25.9% 39% 21% -22.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.9% 21% -22.8%
10% -33.0% 14% -30.2%
15% -39.5% 11% -36.9%
20% -45.4% 8% -43.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 992 history records