Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T22:36:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E2 0xe2f4…9c34 crypto 328 markets active 1h ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 18d only
✗ bot/MM pace (166 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$1,348 (+15%) realized +$1,348 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -8% what you keep after slip
Net edge-8%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate60%197W / 131L
Drawdown14%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day166.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$279
7 days+$1,239
14 days+$1,398
30 days+$1,508
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,508
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (166 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 163 +20.9% +9.4% 67% 66% +11.4%
≤30d 328 +18.9% +7.6% 60% 58% +5.5%
≤90d 328 +18.9% +7.6% 60% 58% +5.5%
all 328 +18.9% +7.6% 60% 58% +5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover166.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +7.6% 58% +5.5%
10% ← realistic here -2.7% 55% -4.6%
15% -12.1% 51% -13.8%
20% -20.7% 42% -22.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +17% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +19% · $-wt +17% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +17% → late +21% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
9.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$21 vs −$21 · ×1.04 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.56 per $1 lost it wins $1.56
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,348
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses197 / 131
Open positions0
Markets (closed)328 / 328
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$28
Trades / day166.5
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 328 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $48 +$8 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$11 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $38 +$19 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $11 +$19 +167%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $7 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $21 +$16 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $68 +$27 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $22 +$13 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $24 +$13 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $39 +$22 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$16 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $51 −$40 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$12 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$19 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $42 +$41 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $34 +$27 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $29 +$22 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $36 +$28 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $36 +$23 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $34 +$26 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $46 +$31 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $53 +$33 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$10 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$20 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $30 +$14 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $25 +$25 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $38 +$19 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $56 +$50 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $86 +$40 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $41 +$18 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $43 +$22 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $12 +$10 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$12 +58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $8 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records