trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +156.1% | +131.7% | 62% | 62% | +97.5% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +80.3% | +63.1% | 57% | 50% | +11.5% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +64.7% | +49.0% | 63% | 58% | +12.0% |
| all | 19 | +64.7% | +49.0% | 63% | 58% | +12.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +49.0% | 58% | +12.0% |
| 10% | +34.8% | 58% | +1.2% |
| 15% | +21.7% | 42% | -8.5% |
| 20% | +9.8% | 37% | -17.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 11¢ | $2 | $3 | +$0 (+16%) |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 (+50%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+16%) |
| Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 32¢ | 32¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$0 (-50%) |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | No | 27¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-80%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $2 | +$1 | +46% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +77% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$1 | -66% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$3 | +272% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$4 | +408% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$7 | +711% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 01 | $3 | −$1 | -50% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? | May 29 | $3 | +$1 | +26% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | May 27 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? | May 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | May 22 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 19 | $3 | +$3 | +89% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 07 | $4 | +$1 | +26% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | May 07 | $1 | +$1 | +78% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 03 | $1 | +$1 | +71% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | May 01 | $4 | +$1 | +31% |