Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:59:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe312…f6fc
crypto · 1257 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$392 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$392 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$392
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses698 / 559
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1257 / 1257
History coverage59d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day32.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1257 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$116
7 days−$82
14 days−$82
30 days−$82
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$7 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$15 +182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$392
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 387 -3.2% -12.4% 52% 51% -13.7%
≤30d 387 -3.2% -12.4% 52% 51% -13.7%
≤90d 1257 -3.7% -12.8% 56% 55% -14.6%
all 1257 -3.7% -12.8% 56% 55% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 55% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 53% -22.8%
15% -28.8% 47% -30.3%
20% -35.8% 30% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records