Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:03:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe328…9f4a
crypto · 1215 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$1,735 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,525 · open −$832
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11,276
Realized+$2,525
Unrealized−$832
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses929 / 375
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions207
Markets (closed)1304 / 1215
History coverage102d
Avg bet$111
Trades / day22.7
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 207 History 1304 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$662
7 days−$166
14 days+$47
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 68¢ 69¢ $3,606 $3,687 +$81 (+2%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 66¢ 83¢ $1,397 $1,775 +$378 (+27%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $728 $755 +$27 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 51¢ 55¢ $615 $655 +$40 (+6%)
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes 71¢ 83¢ $401 $474 +$72 (+18%)
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? No 82¢ 76¢ $374 $344 −$31 (-8%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Yes 46¢ 25¢ $462 $256 −$205 (-44%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? Yes 19¢ 7¢ $548 $204 −$344 (-63%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes 47¢ 17¢ $556 $202 −$354 (-64%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Yes 8¢ 13¢ $108 $173 +$65 (+61%)
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 47¢ 63¢ $125 $168 +$43 (+34%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 88¢ 90¢ $163 $165 +$2 (+1%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? Yes 28¢ 14¢ $318 $164 −$153 (-48%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 41¢ 40¢ $152 $145 −$7 (-5%)
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No 76¢ 65¢ $143 $123 −$20 (-14%)
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes 19¢ 16¢ $123 $103 −$20 (-16%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 65¢ 87¢ $74 $99 +$25 (+34%)
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 73¢ 44¢ $140 $83 −$56 (-40%)
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? Yes 53¢ 39¢ $98 $72 −$26 (-27%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? Yes 52¢ 38¢ $96 $70 −$26 (-27%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $71 $69 −$2 (-2%)
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? Yes 44¢ 46¢ $66 $69 +$3 (+5%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 33¢ 30¢ $60 $56 −$4 (-7%)
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $68 $55 −$13 (-19%)
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? No 68¢ 66¢ $50 $48 −$2 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Lightning vs. Red Wings Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Panthers vs. Red Wings Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Peloton Interactive (PTON) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Lakers vs. Suns Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Mariners vs. Rays Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will "Legendary" be said at the Super Bowl? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Rockets vs. Thunder Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Orioles vs. Padres Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-24? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Aflac (AFL) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - JB Pro League Seas Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Yankees vs. Orioles Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Medina win by 0-3%? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Maryland vs. Wisconsin Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Liam Lawson finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bernie say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ times during CNN town ha Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Niger win on 2025-09-09? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Guardians vs. Red Sox Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Coastal Carolina vs. South Alabama Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Commanders vs. Falcons Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Braves vs. Tigers Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Aces vs. Storm Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial elect Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana Tech Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Donald Trump say "Israel / Gaza" 6+ times during Syria President Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bulls vs. Nets Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
US government shutdown Saturday? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Pistons vs. Knicks Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Rockies vs. Cardinals Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will there be 15-17 inches of snow in D.C. in January? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Bruins Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Senators vs. Lightning Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during Pennsylvania events on Decemb Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% +$755
other 20% −$1,509
world 8% +$3,121
sports 4% −$71
politics 2% +$126
finance 1% +$42
tech 0% −$1
economics 0% +$4
weather 0% +$20
culture 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US strike on Colombia by December 31? SELL No 80¢ $13 1h
Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 93¢ $12 1h
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 96¢ $13 1h
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 96¢ $4 1h
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? SELL No 97¢ $4 1h
Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch? SELL No 98¢ $4 1h
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $4 1h
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on De SELL No 99¢ $4 1h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? SELL No 100¢ $4 1h
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $4 1h
SBF released from custody in 2026? SELL No 95¢ $4 1h
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Prima SELL Yes 99¢ $4 1h
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? SELL No 93¢ $4 1h
Will Hibachi launch a token by June 30, 2026? SELL No 96¢ $4 1h
Decibel FDV above $100M one day after launch? SELL No 51¢ $3 1h
Ramp IPO before 2027? SELL No 89¢ $5 1h
Negative GDP growth in 2026? SELL No 87¢ $4 1h
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 1h
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? SELL No 99¢ $5 1h
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? SELL No 86¢ $5 1h
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? SELL No 77¢ $4 1h
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? SELL No 93¢ $5 1h
Will MrBeast get married by December 31? SELL Yes 63¢ $7 1h
Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch? SELL No 92¢ $7 1h
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? SELL No 98¢ $6 1h
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $6 1h
Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? SELL No 96¢ $6 1h
Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch? SELL No 95¢ $5 1h
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-23.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 274 -78.0% -80.1% 15% 5% -13.9%
≤30d 353 -51.3% -56.0% 32% 11% -9.1%
≤90d 810 -23.6% -30.8% 61% 14% -10.9%
all 1304 -15.8% -23.8% 71% 11% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.8% 11% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -31.1% 8% -17.0%
15% -37.8% 7% -25.0%
20% -43.9% 5% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,276.03 · official $11,276.54 (match) · 3500 history records