Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:53:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe32d…1d8a
sports · 4 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$103 +67%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$113 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$113
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)3 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 1 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$113
7 days+$113
14 days+$113
30 days+$113
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$26 +51%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $51 +$127 +250%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 67% +$77
other 33% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 7¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 71¢ $76 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $51 10h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $51 10h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $40 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+50.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +66.7% +50.8% 67% 67% +62.1%
≤30d 3 +66.7% +50.8% 67% 67% +62.1%
≤90d 3 +66.7% +50.8% 67% 67% +62.1%
all 3 +66.7% +50.8% 67% 67% +62.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +50.8% 67% +62.1%
10% +36.4% 67% +46.6%
15% +23.2% 67% +32.4%
20% +11.1% 67% +19.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.07 · official $0.07 (match) · 7 history records