Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:05:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe331…ec8c
other · 3 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$1,278 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$198 · open +$361
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$690
Realized−$198
Unrealized+$361
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,955
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 1 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$198
7 days−$198
14 days−$198
30 days−$198
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 98¢ $329 $690 +$361 (+110%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $2,680 +$724 +27%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1,821 −$922 -51%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 54% −$562
sports 46% +$724
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $2,132 9m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $94 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $239 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1,033 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 87¢ $364 5h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 77¢ $806 5h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 77¢ $1,510 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 28¢ $899 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $219 13h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $4 13h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1,598 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -11.8% -20.2% 50% 50% -13.5%
≤30d 2 -11.8% -20.2% 50% 50% -13.5%
≤90d 2 -11.8% -20.2% 50% 50% -13.5%
all 2 -11.8% -20.2% 50% 50% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.2% 50% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.8% 50% -21.8%
15% -34.8% 0% -29.3%
20% -41.2% 0% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $689.69 · official $689.69 (match) · 12 history records