Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:18:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe349…2147
crypto · 1594 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$451 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$451 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized−$451
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses852 / 872
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1724 / 1594
History coverage10d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day229.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1724 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$852
7 days−$722
14 days−$451
30 days−$451
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $4 $8 +$4 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 68¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$460
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1366 -10.3% -18.9% 46% 41% -29.7%
≤30d 1724 -4.1% -13.2% 49% 43% -17.9%
≤90d 1724 -4.1% -13.2% 49% 43% -17.9%
all 1724 -4.1% -13.2% 49% 43% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover229.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 43% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 38% -25.8%
15% -29.1% 32% -33.0%
20% -36.0% 25% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.29 · official $22.59 · 3500 history records