Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:27:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe34c…ca55
sports · 473 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$140 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$151 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$346
Realized+$151
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses211 / 247
Est. fees paid−$99
Open positions15
Markets (closed)458 / 473
History coverage49d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day30.9
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 15 History 458 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$192
7 days+$81
14 days+$58
30 days+$283
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Ursa 52¢ 100¢ $37 $71 +$34 (+92%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 46¢ 46¢ $37 $37 −$0 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Gatorian 19¢ 14¢ $30 $23 −$8 (-25%)
Will Orlando Pride win on 2026-05-29? Yes 62¢ 100¢ $13 $21 +$8 (+61%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 30¢ 100¢ $6 $20 +$14 (+233%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 59¢ 95¢ $12 $19 +$7 (+61%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 50¢ 62¢ $10 $13 +$2 (+23%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 85¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$2 (+18%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner OLDBOYS- 39¢ 100¢ $4 $10 +$6 (+155%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 Under 59¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+69%)
Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5) Hurricanes 90¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+11%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage 100 Thieves 37¢ 100¢ $4 $10 +$6 (+170%)
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 4.5 Under 62¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+61%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Over 56¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+79%)
Spread: Jordan (-2.5) Colombia 70¢ 100¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+43%)
Anadolu Efes vs. Fenerbahce Fenerbahce 54¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+85%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants Hanwha Eagles 41¢ 100¢ $4 $10 +$6 (+144%)
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 2.5 Under 73¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+37%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 54¢ 64¢ $5 $7 +$1 (+19%)
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball Paris Basketball 77¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+30%)
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 2.5 Over 80¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+25%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5 Over 74¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+35%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 48¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+109%)
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Ruslan Tiukaev vs Lorenzo Bocchi Lorenzo Bocchi 56¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+78%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 66¢ 5¢ $13 $1 −$12 (-92%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $17 +$3 +18%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $45 +$6 +13%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$1 -13%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B Jun 12 $12 −$10 -80%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $92 −$3 -3%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $147 −$8 -5%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $14 +$17 +119%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $11 +$9 +76%
Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem Jun 11 $11 +$4 +40%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $9 +$6 +67%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $25 −$25 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $6 +$4 +69%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $4 −$1 -42%
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - Nort Jun 11 $3 −$1 -28%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 -1%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $9 +$7 +76%
ITF Brasilia: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Bautista de la Pena Jun 11 $3 −$2 -98%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $85 +$57 +67%
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Sta Jun 11 $5 $0 -8%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $7 −$1 -8%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $9 −$9 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $54 −$52 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $71 −$70 -99%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$6 +61%
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) Jun 11 $8 +$8 +109%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Jun 11 $207 −$3 -2%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $31 −$3 -9%
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 11 $13 $0 -4%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $16 −$12 -76%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $80 −$1 -1%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $73 −$3 -4%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) Jun 11 $9 −$5 -59%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $44 −$2 -4%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $13 −$13 -99%
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5) Jun 11 $29 −$5 -17%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $19 −$1 -8%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $48 −$4 -9%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $32 −$5 -15%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $84 −$5 -6%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 11 $21 $0 -1%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $11 $0 +0%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $5 −$1 -12%
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5) Jun 11 $20 −$1 -4%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $28 −$2 -9%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $79 −$1 -2%
Spread: Knicks (-3.5) Jun 11 $8 −$1 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% +$185
other 13% +$26
crypto 2% −$68
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 54¢ $6 3m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 46¢ $10 36m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 46¢ $9 36m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 46¢ $9 36m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro SELL Ben Shelton 46¢ $5 37m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 44¢ $4 37m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 44¢ $4 38m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 44¢ $4 38m
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Gatorian 18¢ $4 38m
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Gatorian 17¢ $4 38m
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Gatorian 18¢ $4 38m
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Gatorian 18¢ $4 39m
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Gatorian 18¢ $4 39m
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Gatorian 18¢ $4 39m
Rainbow Six Siege: Cloud9 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League BUY 100 Thieves 38¢ $8 49m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 31¢ $3 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 12¢ $2 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Anubis Gaming 62¢ $12 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 70¢ $14 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 85¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 19¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY OLDBOYS- 39¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 52¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winner BUY Eternal Fire Academy 31¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 30¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Gatorian 24¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Gatorian 25¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 67¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 68¢ $10 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $12 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 -19.7% -27.4% 45% 40% -6.3%
≤30d 394 -0.7% -10.2% 47% 42% -4.1%
≤90d 458 -4.2% -13.4% 46% 41% -6.4%
all 458 -4.2% -13.4% 46% 41% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 41% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 35% -15.4%
15% -29.2% 29% -23.6%
20% -36.2% 24% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $345.63 · official $338.09 · 1747 history records