Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:11:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E3 0xe361…5ff5 crypto 1173 markets active 0h ago coverage 20d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d only
✗ bot/MM pace (115 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$1,114 (-0%) realized −$1,105 · open −$9
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%1156W / 16L
Whale WR80%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$226per market
Trades / day115.4pace
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$53now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$47
7 days+$47
14 days+$47
30 days−$1,661
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$1,524
other 7% −$146
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (115 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +1.0% -8.6% 100% 0% -8.6%
≤30d 1172 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 1172 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 0% -10.1%
all 1172 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 0% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover115.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 0% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.7%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 80% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$252 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$53
Realized−$1,105
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1156 / 16
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1172 / 1173
History coverage20d ⚠
Avg bet$226
Trades / day115.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1172 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET Down 99¢ 84¢ $60 $51 −$9 (-15%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 3 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $72 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $115 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $143 +$3 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $54 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $154 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $60 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $81 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $108 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $145 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $43 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $57 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $72 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $87 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $72 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $21 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $58 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $48 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $48 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $116 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $72 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $65 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $39 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $72 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $57 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $116 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $22 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $145 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $87 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $43 +$1 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $66 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $153 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $145 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $72 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $58 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $36 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $43 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8AM ET Jun 15 $23 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $145 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $48 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $257 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $145 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $115 8m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $54 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $72 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $143 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $45 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $37 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $81 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $154 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $43 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $101 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $145 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $57 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $87 21m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $72 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $72 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $21 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $48 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $48 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $58 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $72 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $116 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53.39 · official $51.33 · 3500 history records