Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:54:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe362…5d92
crypto · 56 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$13 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses25 / 31
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)56 / 56
History coverage139d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -27%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore Apr 10 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Apr 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings - Who win Apr 07 $2 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Apr 07 $1 −$1 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Apr 07 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Apr 07 $1 +$1 +90%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Apr 07 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Apr 07 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Apr 07 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Apr 07 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Apr 07 $1 +$1 +131%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings Apr 07 $6 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Apr 05 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Apr 05 $1 $0 +2%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians Apr 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitals Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Apr 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Apr 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Apr 04 $1 −$1 -67%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings Apr 03 $1 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Apr 03 $1 $0 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Apr 03 $1 $0 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Apr 03 $1 +$1 +66%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings - Who wins Apr 03 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Apr 03 $1 +$1 +76%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titans Mar 31 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jan 28 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jan 26 $3 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% −$15
sports 22% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $0 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $0 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-30.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -26.2% -33.3% 33% 20% -29.7%
≤30d 15 -26.2% -33.3% 33% 20% -29.7%
≤90d 48 -25.7% -32.8% 40% 29% -34.5%
all 56 -22.9% -30.3% 45% 30% -31.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.3% 30% -31.4%
10% -36.9% 23% -38.0%
15% -43.0% 21% -44.0%
20% -48.6% 18% -49.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 124 history records