Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:00:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe36c…cdc7
crypto · 839 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$123 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$123 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$123
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses645 / 194
Open positions0
Markets (closed)839 / 839
History coverage13d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day95.9
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 839 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days+$139
14 days+$123
30 days+$123
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 67¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 87¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 88¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 39¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 65¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 80¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 52¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 52¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 82¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 82¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 95¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$5 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$13 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$2 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -55%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$3 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$7 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$10 -50%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$17 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$8 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$11 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$7 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$7 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$13 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$7 -73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$126
other 2% −$3
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $3 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down $1 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $4 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $4 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +76%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 824 +6.0% -4.1% 78% 77% -7.8%
≤30d 839 +5.5% -4.5% 77% 76% -8.0%
≤90d 839 +5.5% -4.5% 77% 76% -8.0%
all 839 +5.5% -4.5% 77% 76% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover95.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.5% 76% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -13.7% 35% -16.8%
15% -22.0% 2% -24.8%
20% -29.7% 1% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1969 history records