Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:47:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe372…eb38
other · 80 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$323,800 +1408%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8,880 · open +$46,613
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$72,696
Realized+$8,880
Unrealized+$46,613
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses83 / 41
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions417
Markets (closed)124 / 80
History coverage3d
Avg bet$287
Trades / day1027.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 417 History 124 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23,983
7 days+$8,880
14 days+$8,880
30 days+$8,880
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 69¢ $192 $3,428 +$3,236 (+1685%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 28¢ $192 $1,373 +$1,181 (+615%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 20¢ 99¢ $200 $993 +$793 (+397%)
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? Yes 3¢ 100¢ $26 $942 +$916 (+3482%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes 12¢ 99¢ $116 $923 +$807 (+695%)
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 1¢ 79¢ $13 $789 +$776 (+5746%)
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? Yes 5¢ 100¢ $39 $732 +$693 (+1799%)
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes 14¢ 99¢ $97 $673 +$576 (+596%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 7¢ 60¢ $67 $605 +$538 (+808%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Yes 4¢ 100¢ $22 $579 +$556 (+2500%)
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting? Yes 20¢ 98¢ $112 $546 +$434 (+387%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 33¢ 94¢ $191 $540 +$349 (+182%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 3¢ 50¢ $32 $521 +$488 (+1516%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 50¢ $10 $497 +$487 (+4726%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 96¢ $10 $484 +$473 (+4616%)
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T? Yes 14¢ 97¢ $70 $478 +$407 (+578%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 3¢ 57¢ $24 $466 +$442 (+1838%)
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 5¢ 100¢ $22 $460 +$438 (+2000%)
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)? Yes 8¢ 100¢ $38 $453 +$415 (+1098%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $41 $450 +$409 (+1000%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 20¢ 92¢ $91 $423 +$332 (+362%)
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 5¢ 88¢ $24 $406 +$382 (+1572%)
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026? Yes 14¢ 68¢ $86 $406 +$320 (+373%)
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election? Yes 50¢ 72¢ $278 $403 +$125 (+45%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 3¢ 81¢ $16 $398 +$382 (+2341%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $22 +$1,737 +7807%
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Caro Jun 12 $22 +$1,932 +8827%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9? Jun 12 $41 +$1,049 +2561%
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? Jun 12 $10 +$691 +7200%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8? Jun 12 $30 +$1,081 +3632%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $109 +$217 +200%
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1? Jun 12 $64 +$344 +537%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 9? Jun 12 $27 +$1,445 +5282%
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting? Jun 12 $74 +$321 +431%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May? Jun 12 $29 +$260 +900%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8? Jun 12 $21 +$561 +2673%
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June Jun 12 $20 +$732 +3712%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 8? Jun 12 $18 +$1,342 +7386%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 9? Jun 12 $14 +$136 +1000%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 10? Jun 12 $14 +$136 +1000%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 10? Jun 12 $14 +$136 +1000%
Will Estonia vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $50 +$100 +200%
Will PPI YoY be between 6.0% and 6.9% in May? Jun 12 $21 +$129 +600%
Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02? Jun 12 $6 +$144 +2500%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 12 $15 +$135 +900%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 10? Jun 12 $14 +$136 +1000%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 10? Jun 12 $14 +$136 +1000%
Russia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $50 +$100 +200%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 12 $14 +$136 +1000%
Will Turkiye win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $50 +$100 +200%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 12 $50 +$163 +325%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 10? Jun 12 $14 +$136 +1000%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 10? Jun 12 $14 +$136 +1000%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 8? Jun 12 $14 +$136 +1000%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11? Jun 12 $14 +$136 +1000%
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $14 +$136 +1000%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10? Jun 12 $14 +$136 +1000%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 9? Jun 12 $14 +$125 +916%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on June 10? Jun 12 $14 +$136 +1000%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 10? Jun 12 $14 +$136 +1000%
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 27m? Jun 12 $38 +$112 +300%
AA Ponte Preta vs. Cuiabá EC: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $50 +$100 +200%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 10? Jun 12 $14 +$136 +1000%
Lithuania leading at halftime? Jun 12 $75 +$75 +100%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 8? Jun 12 $14 +$364 +2668%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9? Jun 12 $14 +$469 +3436%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10? Jun 12 $14 +$136 +1000%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 10? Jun 12 $14 +$136 +1000%
Ethiopia vs. Malawi: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $50 +$100 +200%
Will Sandro Parcaroli win the 2026 Macerata mayoral election? Jun 12 $75 +$75 +100%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $50 +$278 +560%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 8? Jun 12 $14 +$261 +1922%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 8? Jun 12 $14 +$364 +2684%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 9? Jun 12 $13 +$136 +1033%
Hungary leading at halftime? Jun 12 $48 +$99 +207%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 60% +$41,180
weather 26% −$5,678
politics 5% −$1,347
economics 3% −$996
tech 2% −$772
world 1% −$256
sports 1% −$150
finance 1% −$359
culture 1% −$114
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 36m
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026 SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? SELL Yes 86¢ $3 1h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Beckham Edwards be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Beckham Edwards be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Beckham Edwards be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Beckham Edwards be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Beckham Edwards be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Adam Goljer be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Adam Goljer be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Adam Goljer be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Adam Goljer be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $8 6h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 6h
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? SELL Yes 78¢ $3 6h
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary SELL Yes 91¢ $74 6h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 7h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 7h
Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 8h
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election SELL Yes 0¢ $0 11h
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election SELL Yes 0¢ $0 11h
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election SELL Yes 0¢ $0 11h
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election SELL Yes 0¢ $0 11h
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? SELL Yes 46¢ $7 14h
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? SELL Yes 45¢ $15 14h
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? SELL Yes 45¢ $4 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+627.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 +703.7% +627.1% 67% 67% -8.3%
≤30d 124 +703.7% +627.1% 67% 67% -8.3%
≤90d 124 +703.7% +627.1% 67% 67% -8.3%
all 124 +703.7% +627.1% 67% 67% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1027.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +627.1% 67% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here +557.6% 67% -17.1%
15% +494.0% 67% -25.1%
20% +435.8% 67% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $72,696.45 · official $107,316.36 · 3500 history records