Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T23:47:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E3 0xe37c…07b4 crypto 23 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$60 (+6%) realized +$60 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate74%17W / 6L
Drawdown90%max
Avg bet$42per market
Trades / day59.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +5.5% -4.5% 74% 52% -5.4%
≤30d 23 +5.5% -4.5% 74% 52% -5.4%
≤90d 23 +5.5% -4.5% 74% 52% -5.4%
all 23 +5.5% -4.5% 74% 52% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.5% 52% -5.4%
10% ← realistic here -13.7% 43% -14.5%
15% -22.0% 35% -22.8%
20% -29.7% 17% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 29% · top 2 42% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
29% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +15% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$30 · ×0.44 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.24 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses17 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 23
History coverage1d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day59.0
Drawdown90%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 23 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 29 $77 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 29 $26 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 29 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 29 $101 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 29 $26 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 29 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 29 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 29 $25 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 29 $76 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 29 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 29 $26 +$9 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 29 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 29 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 29 $51 −$9 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 29 $51 −$20 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 29 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 29 $77 −$50 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 29 $77 +$65 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 29 $26 +$25 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 29 $25 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 29 $26 +$21 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 29 $51 +$28 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $27 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $25 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $27 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $26 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $35 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $25 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $53 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $34 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $28 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $27 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $26 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $25 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $28 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $25 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $25 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $29 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 67 history records