Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:57:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe385…b0c4
other · 71 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$246 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$246 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$278
Realized+$246
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses11 / 52
Whale WR (big bets)31%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions9
Markets (closed)63 / 71
History coverage3d
Avg bet$609
Trades / day1024.9
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 9 History 63 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$245
7 days+$246
14 days+$246
30 days+$246
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $36 $36 −$0 (-0%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 100¢ 99¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-0%)
Trump out as President by June 30? No 99¢ 99¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-0%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-0%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 100¢ 99¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $29 $29 −$0 (-0%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $29 $29 −$0 (-0%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No 99¢ 99¢ $29 $29 −$0 (-0%)
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open? No 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Jun 12 $5,276 +$26 +0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 12 $3,228 +$13 +0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $868 $0 -0%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $2,613 −$2 -0%
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 12 $410 +$29 +7%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 12 $477 +$21 +4%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $830 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $650 $0 -0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $344 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $57 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $86 $0 -0%
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $37 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $868 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? Jun 12 $218 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 12 $751 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? Jun 12 $468 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $219 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 12 $45 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $59 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $291 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $180 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 12 $453 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? Jun 12 $257 $0 -0%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $92 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $169 $0 -0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $55 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $30 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $155 $0 -0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? Jun 12 $30 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Jun 12 $1,044 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $335 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $223 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Jun 12 $89 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1,330 +$29 +2%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $540 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $31 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Jun 12 $1,878 −$1 -0%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $3,573 −$2 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $31 $0 -0%
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Jun 12 $88 $0 +0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e Jun 12 $32 $0 -0%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 11 $156 $0 +0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $31 $0 -0%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $31 −$1 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $175 $0 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 11 $30 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $31 $0 +0%
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $1,273 −$1 -0%
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $715 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 36% +$25
world 28% +$162
politics 12% +$26
tech 11% −$1
economics 11% +$34
crypto 2% $0
finance 0% $0
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? SELL No 100¢ $31 2m
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 100¢ $19 2m
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 100¢ $13 2m
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? SELL No 100¢ $39 21m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $38 22m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $38 22m
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $31 24m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $51 26m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $76 26m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $51 26m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $32 26m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $32 26m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $8 27m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $8 27m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $60 27m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $37 27m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $24 27m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $87 27m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $39 27m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $20 27m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $23 27m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $5 27m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $70 27m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $38 27m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $31 27m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $70 28m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $52 28m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $18 28m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $17 28m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $17 28m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +0.4% -9.2% 17% 2% -8.9%
≤30d 63 +0.4% -9.2% 17% 2% -8.9%
≤90d 63 +0.4% -9.2% 17% 2% -8.9%
all 63 +0.4% -9.2% 17% 2% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1024.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 2% -8.9%
10% -17.9% 0% -17.6%
15% ← realistic here -25.8% 0% -25.5%
20% -33.1% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $278.23 · official $277.39 (match) · 3500 history records