Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:06:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe38d…dac5
crypto · 443 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$3,279 -55%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,279 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$3,279
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses200 / 527
Open positions0
Markets (closed)727 / 443
History coverage14d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day240.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 727 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,677
7 days−$3,250
14 days−$3,279
30 days−$3,279
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 43¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+131%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+91%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+80%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$8 +1193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$8 +1756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$12 +7009%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$5 +2403%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$11 +6010%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +378%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$548
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-31.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 540 -29.3% -36.0% 22% 21% -48.0%
≤30d 727 -23.8% -31.1% 28% 27% -40.9%
≤90d 727 -23.8% -31.1% 28% 27% -40.9%
all 727 -23.8% -31.1% 28% 27% -40.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover240.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.1% 27% -40.9%
10% ← realistic here -37.7% 26% -46.5%
15% -43.7% 26% -51.7%
20% -49.2% 22% -56.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.55 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records