Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:28:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe3ab…5985
crypto · 288 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$258 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$257 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53
Realized−$257
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses98 / 165
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions25
Markets (closed)263 / 288
History coverage74d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 25 History 263 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 42¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+138%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 64¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 54¢ 92¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+69%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Over 57¢ 81¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+43%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 62¢ 81¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+31%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 51¢ 56¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+9%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 50¢ 52¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 52¢ 52¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 83¢ 82¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 71¢ 70¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 59¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 55¢ 55¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 53¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 51¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-8%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 36¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-22%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 78¢ 6¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-92%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $2 +$1 +53%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $4 $0 -10%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $4 $0 -2%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $2 +$3 +129%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final? May 05 $32 −$31 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoff May 03 $117 −$117 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28? Apr 28 $61 +$88 +144%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner Apr 26 $570 +$429 +75%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Apr 26 $81 +$119 +147%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Apr 26 $30 −$30 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Apr 26 $50 +$94 +188%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Apr 25 $34 −$33 -98%
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? Apr 22 $280 +$203 +72%
Will US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw? Apr 20 $70 −$18 -26%
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-20? Apr 20 $92 −$3 -3%
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-20? Apr 20 $7 −$5 -72%
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-04-19? Apr 20 $5 $0 +5%
Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw? Apr 20 $4 +$2 +57%
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-04-20? Apr 20 $42 −$7 -17%
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-04-19? Apr 20 $1 −$1 -97%
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-04-19? Apr 20 $28 −$28 -100%
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $2 −$1 -70%
Will SE Palmeiras vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw? Apr 19 $5 −$1 -22%
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $5 +$5 +104%
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? Apr 19 $5 −$1 -10%
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $11 −$10 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on April 12? Apr 19 $3 +$1 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 12 Apr 19 $3 +$2 +52%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 12? Apr 19 $3 +$2 +72%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on April 14 Apr 19 $3 +$2 +56%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 14? Apr 19 $4 +$1 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 12? Apr 19 $3 +$2 +79%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 13 Apr 19 $3 +$2 +45%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 1 Apr 19 $4 +$1 +32%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C or higher on April 13? Apr 19 $4 +$2 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 47% −$395
sports 30% +$360
world 8% +$191
weather 8% −$460
other 7% +$47
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 55¢ $2 18m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 53¢ $2 56m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $2 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Cleveland Guardians 84¢ $3 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $2 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 49¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $2 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 57¢ $2 2h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 90¢ $2 2h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 51¢ $2 3h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 54¢ $2 3h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 54¢ $2 3h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 46¢ $2 3h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 78¢ $2 4h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $2 5h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 42¢ $2 5h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 80¢ $2 9h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 62¢ $2 9h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 52¢ $2 11h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 85¢ $2 11h
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele BUY Yes 83¢ $2 11h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $2 11h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $2 11h
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 11h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $2 11h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 11h
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Ilia Topuria 81¢ $2 11h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 58¢ $2 11h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $2 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-32.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -42.1% -47.6% 32% 26% -44.1%
≤30d 19 -42.1% -47.6% 32% 26% -44.1%
≤90d 263 -24.9% -32.1% 37% 35% -9.8%
all 263 -24.9% -32.1% 37% 35% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -32.1% 35% -9.8%
10% -38.6% 34% -18.5%
15% -44.5% 32% -26.3%
20% -49.9% 30% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.97 · official $52.99 (match) · 1166 history records