Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:30:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe3b2…7d94
crypto · 69 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$165 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$98 · open +$107
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20,467
Realized+$98
Unrealized+$107
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses20 / 14
Open positions35
Markets (closed)34 / 69
History coverage2d
Avg bet$429
Trades / day403.5
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 35 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$98
7 days+$98
14 days+$98
30 days+$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $7,219 $6,987 −$232 (-3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? No 99¢ 100¢ $5,941 $5,949 +$8 (+0%)
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Yes 31¢ 35¢ $3,325 $3,678 +$352 (+11%)
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes 82¢ 80¢ $914 $886 −$28 (-3%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 14? No 99¢ 100¢ $674 $674 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $565 $567 +$2 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $419 $420 +$1 (+0%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 14? No 99¢ 97¢ $217 $214 −$3 (-2%)
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $208 $208 −$0 (-0%)
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? No 95¢ 95¢ $202 $203 +$1 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 15? No 100¢ 100¢ $199 $200 +$0 (+0%)
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026? Yes 16¢ 18¢ $178 $199 +$21 (+12%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 14? No 100¢ 99¢ $90 $90 −$0 (-0%)
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No 93¢ 92¢ $55 $54 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 16? No 100¢ 99¢ $53 $53 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? No 98¢ 97¢ $20 $19 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? No 0¢ 0¢ $29 $15 −$14 (-48%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on June 16? No 100¢ 99¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 14? No 71¢ 91¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+28%)
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-9%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026? Yes 86¢ 86¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 14? No 0¢ 1¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+16%)
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-25%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 14? No 1¢ 1¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026? Yes 12¢ 13¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $139 +$3 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 13? Jun 13 $60 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $41 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $985 +$3 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 13? Jun 13 $263 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 13? Jun 13 $124 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 13? Jun 13 $467 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $1,158 +$84 +7%
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on June 12? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 12? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $355-$360 on the final day of trading of Jun 12 $13 +$3 +28%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $360-$365 on the final day of trading of Jun 12 $11 +$5 +45%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $365 on June 12? Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $355 on June 12? Jun 12 $199 +$1 +0%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on June 12? Jun 12 $114 +$86 +75%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $189 −$18 -10%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Will the price of Solana be above $40 on June 12? Jun 12 $24 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $445 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $42 −$37 -88%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $6 −$1 -15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $529 +$55 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $220 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $449 −$2 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 48% +$120
crypto 47% −$2
tech 5% +$88
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $0 34m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $13 34m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $199 35m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $1 35m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $199 35m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 35m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 49m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $53 49m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 67¢ $3 1h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 33¢ $2 1h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $46 1h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 14? BUY No 1¢ $0 1h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 14? BUY No 1¢ $2 1h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $172 1h
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $74 1h
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 81¢ $118 1h
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026? BUY Yes 18¢ $26 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $0 1h
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 81¢ $8 1h
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $131 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $1 1h
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 80¢ $2 1h
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $199 1h
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 80¢ $46 1h
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026? BUY Yes 19¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-31.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -24.7% -31.9% 59% 9% -8.0%
≤30d 34 -24.7% -31.9% 59% 9% -8.0%
≤90d 34 -24.7% -31.9% 59% 9% -8.0%
all 34 -24.7% -31.9% 59% 9% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover403.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.9% 9% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -38.4% 9% -16.8%
15% -44.4% 6% -24.8%
20% -49.8% 3% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20,467.18 · official $20,457.57 (match) · 845 history records