Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:49:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe3c3…ac62
weather · 539 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$37,751 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,202 · open −$41
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,361
Realized+$1,202
Unrealized−$41
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses511 / 4
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions47
Markets (closed)515 / 539
History coverage13d
Avg bet$251
Trades / day253.5
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 47 History 515 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$62
7 days+$288
14 days+$1,202
30 days+$1,202
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 14? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $595 $592 −$3 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 14? No 100¢ 97¢ $299 $292 −$7 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? Yes 99¢ 96¢ $268 $258 −$11 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $247 $247 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $223 $224 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 14? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $203 $206 +$3 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 14? No 99¢ 100¢ $199 $200 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $199 $199 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 15? No 100¢ 99¢ $199 $199 −$1 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 96°F or higher on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $196 $196 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $193 $193 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $157 $157 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $150 $150 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C or below on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $150 $150 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $150 $149 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $149 $149 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $123 $123 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 14? No 99¢ 100¢ $109 $110 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 14? No 99¢ 97¢ $99 $96 −$3 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $52 $52 +$0 (+0%)
US x China Military clash before 2027? No 94¢ 92¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No 74¢ 95¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+28%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June Jun 14 $133 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 14? Jun 14 $105 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 14? Jun 14 $151 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 14? Jun 14 $519 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14? Jun 14 $334 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 14? Jun 14 $299 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 14? Jun 14 $172 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on June 14? Jun 14 $100 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on June 14? Jun 14 $167 +$4 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 14? Jun 14 $199 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14? Jun 14 $200 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on June Jun 14 $199 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 14 Jun 14 $298 +$1 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 14? Jun 14 $150 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 14? Jun 14 $199 +$1 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 13? Jun 14 $329 +$6 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 14? Jun 14 $213 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 14? Jun 14 $122 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 14? Jun 14 $150 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 14? Jun 14 $161 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 14? Jun 14 $197 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 14? Jun 14 $77 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 14? Jun 14 $62 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 14? Jun 14 $100 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1,055 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1,447 +$1 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on June 14? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 14? Jun 13 $51 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on June 14? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 13? Jun 13 $251 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $145 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 13? Jun 13 $151 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $229 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on June 13? Jun 13 $146 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 13? Jun 13 $52 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? Jun 13 $127 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 14? Jun 13 $232 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14? Jun 13 $141 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14? Jun 13 $235 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $98 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $102 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $320 +$6 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $75 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 13? Jun 13 $548 +$1 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 13? Jun 13 $199 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1,357 +$3 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14? Jun 13 $335 +$2 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14? Jun 13 $241 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$1,186
other 0% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $26 16m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $1 47m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $75 47m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June SELL No 100¢ $134 52m
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $71 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $28 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $90 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $21 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $15 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $99 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $30 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $75 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $120 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $74 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 14? BUY Yes 98¢ $133 1h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $109 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $223 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $66 1h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $400 1h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $58 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $149 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $29 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $49 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $335 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $135 2h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $83 2h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $82 2h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $300 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 254 +0.4% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.1%
≤30d 515 +0.7% -8.9% 99% 0% -8.7%
≤90d 515 +0.7% -8.9% 99% 0% -8.7%
all 515 +0.7% -8.9% 99% 0% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover253.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 0% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 0% -17.4%
15% -25.6% 0% -25.4%
20% -32.9% 0% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,361.18 · official $4,356.20 (match) · 3500 history records