Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:32:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe3ee…5176
crypto · 568 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,011 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,000 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$299
Realized+$1,000
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses358 / 515
Open positions4
Markets (closed)873 / 568
History coverage1d
Avg bet$77
Trades / day3127.0
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 873 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,000
7 days+$1,000
14 days+$1,000
30 days+$1,000
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Up 77¢ 84¢ $201 $217 +$16 (+8%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Up 79¢ 88¢ $50 $55 +$5 (+11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Down 66¢ 36¢ $43 $24 −$19 (-45%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+72%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Down 59¢ 16¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-74%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Down 11¢ 12¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+15%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+30%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+49%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +49%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -1948%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 8AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$56 -179%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 11PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +615%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$35 -4334%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 7PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5,147
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $13 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $21 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $15 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $12 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $3 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $4 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $2 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $3 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $37 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $39 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $2 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $3 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $2 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $2 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $2 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-34.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 873 -28.0% -34.8% 41% 26% -7.5%
≤30d 873 -28.0% -34.8% 41% 26% -7.5%
≤90d 873 -28.0% -34.8% 41% 26% -7.5%
all 873 -28.0% -34.8% 41% 26% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3127.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.8% 26% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -41.1% 13% -16.3%
15% -46.8% 7% -24.4%
20% -52.0% 4% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $299.04 · official $297.37 (match) · 3500 history records