trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 28 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 28 | $1,118 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Paula Badosa be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Jun 28 | $54 | $0 | -0% |
| Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Jun 28 | $1,068 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 28 | $1,023 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 05 | $60 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom i | May 05 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | May 05 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | May 03 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? | May 03 | $765 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | May 03 | $749 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 02 | $702 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | May 02 | $689 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | May 02 | $76 | $0 | -0% |
| Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | May 02 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | May 02 | $681 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? | May 01 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 01 | $55 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | May 01 | $784 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 01 | $737 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Apr 10 | $190 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 10 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Apr 10 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 07 | $138 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Apr 07 | $55 | $0 | -0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 07 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 02 | $162 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 02 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 02 | $47 | $0 | -0% |